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天然橡胶供应紧张，股价持续上涨
The tight supply of natural rubber inflates its price
发布于2011-10-21 18:22 | 次阅读
Released on 2011-10-21 18:22 | readings
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据《经济日报》1月5日报道，由于国内外天然橡胶生产即将进入上半年的冬季低产阶段，天然橡胶的供应将出现持续紧张的现象，从而导致天然橡胶股市的内盘跟随外盘继续上涨。

 

国内两大天然橡胶产区停割，导致了供应量的减少；中国对天然橡胶的进口依赖性也在增强，2010年12月之前，中国全年的天然橡胶的进口量比2009年同期增长了9.9%，但是同时国外的主要的天然橡胶生产国印尼和越南的天然橡胶产量也在减少，导致供应紧张的局面不仅没有得到缓解，反而会有所加剧。

 

在这种情况之下，由于天然橡胶的供应紧张而导致的外盘报价高企，又导致了国内挂单的价格也维持在高位。上周农垦挂单4811吨，成交3643吨，均价为36126元/吨，每顿的价格比上一周要高出596元。在此形势下，沪胶1105合约今年第一个交易日以每吨37470元开盘，早盘呈现调整的态势，午盘有所震荡上涨，伴随持仓的增加，下午盘沪胶继续以强势上涨，尾盘就收于每吨37610元。这样就造成了天然橡胶供需面呈现上游原料供应紧张，而下游采购仍旧不积极的局面。

According to the report of Economic Daily News on January 5, as the domestic and foreign natural rubber production is about to enter the low-yielding phase of the first half of winter, the natural rubber supply will continue to be stress, leading to the inner disk of natural rubber market to rise following the outer disk increase.
 
Because the two major natural rubber producing areas in China stopped cutting, the supply has decreased; and the dependence of China for the import of natural rubber has increased. Before the December of 2010, the amount of import of natural rubber increased 9.9% compared with that of 2009. However, natural rubber production of the main foreign producers of natural rubber including Indonesia and Vietnam's is also reduced, leading to the result that the tight supply situation of natural rubber is not only not been eased, but will be intensified.
 

Under the situation, because of the high quote of outer disk caused by the decreasing supply of natural rubber, the price of the inner disk also continued to be high. In the last week, the pending farm order is 4811 tons, the turnover is 3643 tons, and the average price is 36,126 Yuan / ton, 596 Yuan higher than that of the previous week. Under this situation, Hujiao contract 1105 opened with 37,470 Yuan per ton in the first trading day, showing adjustment of the trend early, some shocks up midday, and in the afternoon the Hujiao continue to rise strongly, closing at 37,610 Yuan per ton. Therefore there emerges the tight supply of natural rubber and the non-active situation of bought.   

据《经济日报》1月5日报道，由于国内外天然橡胶生产即将进入上半年的冬季低产阶段，天然橡胶的供应将出现持续紧张的现象，从而导致天然橡胶股市的内盘跟随外盘继续上涨。

 

国内两大天然橡胶产区停割，导致了供应量的减少；中国对天然橡胶的进口依赖性也在增强，2010年12月之前，中国全年的天然橡胶的进口量比2009年同期增长了9.9%，但是同时国外的主要的天然橡胶生产国印尼和越南的天然橡胶产量也在减少，导致供应紧张的局面不仅没有得到缓解，反而会有所加剧。

 

在这种情况之下，由于天然橡胶的供应紧张而导致的外盘报价高企，又导致了国内挂单的价格也维持在高位。上周农垦挂单4811吨，成交3643吨，均价为36126元/吨，每顿的价格比上一周要高出596元。在此形势下，沪胶1105合约今年第一个交易日以每吨37470元开盘，早盘呈现调整的态势，午盘有所震荡上涨，伴随持仓的增加，下午盘沪胶继续以强势上涨，尾盘就收于每吨37610元。这样就造成了天然橡胶供需面呈现上游原料供应紧张，而下游采购仍旧不积极的局面。

According to the report of Economic Daily News on January 5, as the domestic and foreign natural rubber production is about to enter the low-yielding phase of the first half of winter, the natural rubber supply will continue to be stress, leading to the inner disk of natural rubber market to rise following the outer disk increase.
 
Because the two major natural rubber producing areas in China stopped cutting, the supply has decreased; and the dependence of China for the import of natural rubber has increased. Before the December of 2010, the amount of import of natural rubber increased 9.9% compared with that of 2009. However, natural rubber production of the main foreign producers of natural rubber including Indonesia and Vietnam's is also reduced, leading to the result that the tight supply situation of natural rubber is not only not been eased, but will be intensified.
 

Under the situation, because of the high quote of outer disk caused by the decreasing supply of natural rubber, the price of the inner disk also continued to be high. In the last week, the pending farm order is 4811 tons, the turnover is 3643 tons, and the average price is 36,126 Yuan / ton, 596 Yuan higher than that of the previous week. Under this situation, Hujiao contract 1105 opened with 37,470 Yuan per ton in the first trading day, showing adjustment of the trend early, some shocks up midday, and in the afternoon the Hujiao continue to rise strongly, closing at 37,610 Yuan per ton. Therefore there emerges the tight supply of natural rubber and the non-active situation of bought.   

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