China's economy will still maintain a rapid growth
Released on 2011-10-21 18:02 | readings
2011年的经济结构战略性调整步伐不断加快的趋势已经不可阻挡。新的一年,我们完全可以期待，中国经济将在调整产业结构、转变发展方式这条主线上出现重大的突破和进展。
今年我国经济仍将保持较快的增长速度，预计全年GDP增长速度为9.8%左右，但增速比2010年略低。2011年预计第一产业增速为4.6%，第二产业增速为11%，第三产业增速为9.7%。分季度来看，我国经济增长基本呈前低后高之势.我国今年的投资增长也许会明显加速，估计2011年全社会固定资产投资总额为34.2万亿元左右，比2010年增长23%。
中国的国内消费一直是近几年的重点,也是中国经济政策的需要加强的部分。2011年中国消费将逐步走高，但仍低于正常水平。其中一个主要因素就是通胀。按照目前的物价趋势, 2011年CPI增长会超过4%。此外, 预计2011年内需对GDP增长的贡献率将为95%，内需将成为我国经济增长的主要推动力。
另外在去年，重庆，广州等城市对户籍制度进行了改革。当大量的农名成为市民后，消费水平也会随之上升。
就我国农业来说，若不遇到严重的自然灾害，粮食产量将比2010年增加50亿斤以上，达到10980亿斤左右。这样, 我国有可能实现2004年以来的第八年粮食增产。预计2011年棉花的播种面积与2009年相比，增幅在3%上下。
今年的宏观经济政策重点应是抑泡沫、控投资、调结构、强民生。2011年中国不会发生严重的通货膨胀。
同时，今年我国将在收入分配改革、所得税改革等多方面作出新的调整，从而改善居民消费能力、发展新的消费热点。
In 2011, the accelerating pace of strategic adjustment of economic structure will be irresistible. This year, we can expect the Chinese economy experience major breakthroughs and progress in adjusting the industrial structure and transforming the method of development.
This year Chinese economy will maintain a rapid growth rate, the expected annual GDP growth rate will be 9.8%, but this rate is slightly lower compared with 2010. The primary industry growth is expected to be 4.6% in 2011, the secondary industry growth rate will be 11.0% and the service industry growth rate will be 9.7%. From a quarter-to-quarter view, China's economic growth will show a low to high trend.
This year Chinese investment growth may significantly speed up, the estimated total social fixed assets investment will be 34.2 trillion Yuan in 2011, increased 23% compared with 2010.
Chinese domestic consumption has been the key factors in recent years. It is also the part needs to be strengthened in China's economic policies. In 2011, Chinese consumption will gradually rise, but it will still be lower than normal levels. One major factor is inflation. According to the current price trend, CPI in 2011 will be more than 4%. Under normal circumstances, in 2011the contribution of domestic demand to GDP is expected to be 95%, domestic demand will become the main driving force of China's economic growth.
Also in last year, in Chongqing, Guangzhou and other cities performed the reform of household registration. When a large number of farmers become city residential, the consumption level will rise.
For the agriculture in our country, unless we meet severe natural disasters, the grain output will increase to 50 billion kilograms, which surpassed the number in 2010, to reach 10980 billion kilograms. In this way, our country is possible to achieve the eighth consecutive year of increasing food production since 2004; cultivated area of cotton in 2011, compared with 2009, would show an increase of 3%.
This year’s macroeconomic policies should focus on suppressing bubbles, controlling investment, adjusting the structure and strengthening the people's livelihood. In 2011, China will not suffer serious inflation.
Meanwhile, this year, China will reform the income distribution, tax and other aspects to make new adjustments, thereby to improve the consumer’s ability and to develop new focus of consumption spending.
2011年的经济结构战略性调整步伐不断加快的趋势已经不可阻挡。新的一年,我们完全可以期待，中国经济将在调整产业结构、转变发展方式这条主线上出现重大的突破和进展。
今年我国经济仍将保持较快的增长速度，预计全年GDP增长速度为9.8%左右，但增速比2010年略低。2011年预计第一产业增速为4.6%，第二产业增速为11%，第三产业增速为9.7%。分季度来看，我国经济增长基本呈前低后高之势.我国今年的投资增长也许会明显加速，估计2011年全社会固定资产投资总额为34.2万亿元左右，比2010年增长23%。
中国的国内消费一直是近几年的重点,也是中国经济政策的需要加强的部分。2011年中国消费将逐步走高，但仍低于正常水平。其中一个主要因素就是通胀。按照目前的物价趋势, 2011年CPI增长会超过4%。此外, 预计2011年内需对GDP增长的贡献率将为95%，内需将成为我国经济增长的主要推动力。
另外在去年，重庆，广州等城市对户籍制度进行了改革。当大量的农名成为市民后，消费水平也会随之上升。
就我国农业来说，若不遇到严重的自然灾害，粮食产量将比2010年增加50亿斤以上，达到10980亿斤左右。这样, 我国有可能实现2004年以来的第八年粮食增产。预计2011年棉花的播种面积与2009年相比，增幅在3%上下。
今年的宏观经济政策重点应是抑泡沫、控投资、调结构、强民生。2011年中国不会发生严重的通货膨胀。
同时，今年我国将在收入分配改革、所得税改革等多方面作出新的调整，从而改善居民消费能力、发展新的消费热点。
In 2011, the accelerating pace of strategic adjustment of economic structure will be irresistible. This year, we can expect the Chinese economy experience major breakthroughs and progress in adjusting the industrial structure and transforming the method of development.
This year Chinese economy will maintain a rapid growth rate, the expected annual GDP growth rate will be 9.8%, but this rate is slightly lower compared with 2010. The primary industry growth is expected to be 4.6% in 2011, the secondary industry growth rate will be 11.0% and the service industry growth rate will be 9.7%. From a quarter-to-quarter view, China's economic growth will show a low to high trend.
This year Chinese investment growth may significantly speed up, the estimated total social fixed assets investment will be 34.2 trillion Yuan in 2011, increased 23% compared with 2010.
Chinese domestic consumption has been the key factors in recent years. It is also the part needs to be strengthened in China's economic policies. In 2011, Chinese consumption will gradually rise, but it will still be lower than normal levels. One major factor is inflation. According to the current price trend, CPI in 2011 will be more than 4%. Under normal circumstances, in 2011the contribution of domestic demand to GDP is expected to be 95%, domestic demand will become the main driving force of China's economic growth.
Also in last year, in Chongqing, Guangzhou and other cities performed the reform of household registration. When a large number of farmers become city residential, the consumption level will rise.
For the agriculture in our country, unless we meet severe natural disasters, the grain output will increase to 50 billion kilograms, which surpassed the number in 2010, to reach 10980 billion kilograms. In this way, our country is possible to achieve the eighth consecutive year of increasing food production since 2004; cultivated area of cotton in 2011, compared with 2009, would show an increase of 3%.
This year’s macroeconomic policies should focus on suppressing bubbles, controlling investment, adjusting the structure and strengthening the people's livelihood. In 2011, China will not suffer serious inflation.
Meanwhile, this year, China will reform the income distribution, tax and other aspects to make new adjustments, thereby to improve the consumer’s ability and to develop new focus of consumption spending.